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Articles by Mark Sturdy

  • T Notes Under Pressure
    Already this week a US debt issue struggled, that could be a signal for what is to come. We judge that as economic growth becomes more entrenched, traders will become increasingly critical of this government's fiscal policies. When they judge the stimulus has been in place for too long and is likely to feed inflation, US Bonds will surely sell off hard. We believe that day is not long off.
    Published 01Apr2010, viewed 194 times
  • Traders' Fears and the S&P
    Some analysts have alarmed bulls by pointing out the relative underperformance of the Nasdaq and the Russell indices, the failure to make new highs in key S&P leadership stocks and, yesterday, the 14day RSI registering its highest overbought level since 1971... We think a pause is possible, even a small setback, but note that major patterns and macro forces are still driving the market forward and don't look exhausted - yet.
    Published 26Mar2010, viewed 149 times
  • Euro Sterling Is Set To Go Further
    The Euro has recently suffered a very pronounced period of weakness against both the US Dollar and the Japanese Yen but against Sterling it has remained strong throughout. Why is that?
    Published 18Mar2010, viewed 299 times
  • The Dollar Still Looks Strong Against The Euro
    Greece has moved out of the spotlight after the Greek government received non-financial support from the EU/Euro zone leaders and pledged to enact a fiscal austerity package aimed at sharply reducing the budget deficit. Yet the Dollar remains well bid. What other factors are now in play that offer such solid support?
    Published 24Feb2010, viewed 175 times
  • Are the Gold bears broken? It's not clear
    The Gold market continues to frustrate both Bulls and Bears. Although the highs were made in early December 2009, the long drawn-out retreat has been orderly. After several failed attempts to re-establish the underlying Bull trend. Are there the preconditions of a more successful resumption of that trend in the near future?
    Published 14Feb2010, viewed 456 times
  • S&P Retracement or Reversal?
    We are currently in the middle of the US Q4 earnings reporting season, which hasn't gone too badly, but equities are not moving higher, as would be expected, instead they are suffering a correction lower. Why?
    Published 07Feb2010, viewed 383 times
  • Gilts rebound
    Over the last two weeks the Gilt (with other bond markets) has managed a steady recovery away from the lows. Retracement or reversal?
    Published 27Jan2010, viewed 188 times
  • Gilt Selling, Gilt Buying
    The UK Gilt's many lives may have run out. Gilt selling is spirited, Gilt buying is muted A look at the picture for UK Gilts
    Published 14Jan2010, viewed 260 times
  • The politics of the Pound verus Dollar and Euro
    The pre-budget report was never going to announce any measure that risked upsetting the already slim chance of Labour's re-election. The markets seem to understand this and have decided that the Pound should be given the benefit of the doubt with only 5 or 6 months to go until a new government is elected.
    Published 16Dec2009, viewed 146 times

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